This is exactly the moment i am waiting for...
|The breakout in gold is here. It's time to be long gold.|
Back in 2011, gold enjoyed a big rally. As the European debt crisis grew worse, prices shot from $1,550 an ounce to a high of around $1,900. This big rally was followed by a big decline… one that took gold back down to the $1,550 level.
From May through July, gold held steady around the $1,550 level. It then began trading in a tight price range. In this range, gold's day-to-day volatility fell to its lowest point in over a year.
These periods of tight price ranges and low volatility often precede big price moves…
That "decision-point" arrived the next day…
Wednesday's comments from the Federal Reserve led the market to think more financial stimulus is on the way. That resulted in a selloff in the dollar and a rally for gold.
The metal shot out of its trading range. Take a look…
Over the very short term (two to 10 days), gold is likely to pull back near its breakout level. Markets just like to frustrate traders before moving substantially higher. So if you're already long gold, you can expect to give back some of your gains over the next week or so.
But the longer-term picture is clear. Gold has good fundamental reasons to move higher. And it has registered an important price breakout.
You can trade this rally with a gold fund like SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) or Swiss Gold Shares (SGOL)… or with a quality gold miner.
Gold stocks are incredibly cheap right now… and could rally triple digits over the next year. Names to consider here are Goldcorp (GG), Barrick (ABX), or Yamana (AUY) in the U.S.
As for Singapore, You can take a look at my previous blog post here. Thanks to paikia, he helped on some clarification on the SPDR Gold ETF (http://www.spdrgoldshares.com/sites/sg/): the lot size is just 10 shares so at the current price of $162.03 = US$1620.30. That seems comfortable for most investors :)
Whatever method you choose, make sure you're on the right side of the market. Right now, that side is long.